I lean toward the latter. And analysts I've talked with are mystified. But the Wall Street Journal offers up one of the best quotes yet. Courtesy of Jayson Noland of Robert W. Baird & Co.It's "like McDonald's getting out of the hamburger business."Or Boeing suddenly dumping its plane business because it's tired of trying to compete with Airbus. What company gets out of a market, any market, when it's No. 1 in the world? With all the benefits that accrue to that position. Especially after spending tens (possibly hundreds) of billions dollars (not to mention an incalculable amount of blood, sweat, and tears) to achieve that status?And CEO Leo Apotheker's decision to make this move was crudely communicated as a footnote in a press release about its acquisition of Autonomy. It seemed like a trifling afterthought. "Oh, by the way, we also plan to get out of the PC business." This, more than anything, reveals Apotheker's mindset.My guess is Apotheker is too "smart" for HP's own good. What seems like a draconian but an inescapably logical decision (PC profits are relatively low) may actually turn out to be quite the opposite: a myopic vision of HP's future. As though the only future for a major U.S. computer company (a la IBM) is software and services.Imagine Steve Jobs' Apple--indisputably the most successful computer and consumer electronics company in the world--making the same decision. "Oh, we'll leave the laptop, phone, and tablet design stuff to Dell, Acer, Motorola, Samsung, and Lenovo. We'll just supply the software and services."Sadly, HP is the victim of one too many CEOs. A world-straddling colossus like HP can tolerate just so many serial CEOs. Each one imposing his or her narrow vision of the future of computing. And then the company lurches yet again in another direction discarding valuable institutional knowledge and painstakingly constructed infrastructure."People are really looking at Apotheker cross-eyed right now," according to one analyst I spoke to. He described three "boneheaded" moves by Apotheker. One, HP overpaid for Autonomy. Two, Apotheker announced the spinoff of the PC company without any plan or timetable, "thus devaluing the PC company without deriving any benefit," he said. And, three, shutting down the "high-mobility" tablet business. Probably the hottest device market right now.
